Super Bowl XLVI Betting Odds Analysis

Last week, NFL fans and bettors witnessed two of the most intense games of the seasons when the New England Patriots and the New York Giants defeated the Baltimore Ravens and San Francisco 49ers by a slight margin. Both games were decided in the last minutes of action (Giants won in OT) thanks to two decisive free kick plays.

Now that the respective AFC and NFC champions have been selected, the New England Patriots and the New York Giants will meet in the biggest event of the season: Super Bowl XLVI.

NFL and football odds for this game have been released and sportsbooks are ready to take action on who will win this game. While it isn’t the first time these two meet (remember Super Bowl XLII, when the Giants pulled one of the biggest upsets in football history?), the odds for this game paint a different picture for both teams.

Back in 2007, the odds opened with the Patriots listed as 11 point favorites and closed with the New England driving the game up to as high as -14. This time, the odds have opened with the Patriots listed at -3.5 and the total at 56.  But while the line seems to favor New England, a large percentage of the money is expected to be on the Giants +3.5 -120.

As usual, YouTube channel “The Betting Edge” recently posted a video analysis on the Super Bowl Odds.  Here’s a link to the latest video. Enjoy and good luck on your bets. http://youtu.be/mI1KYmFMVq0

NFL Week 16: Star Picks

I found an interesting piece this morning by Dan The Man Leach, Inspin’s Collaborator and Betting Expert, and host of The Betting Edge segment on YouTube. First of all, I have to declare myself a faithful follower and fan of his articles and betting previews. I started following his video comments and reading his posts and NFL articles a few weeks ago, and so far, he seems like a highly capable betting expert and handicapper. No bullshit posts or phony picks. Another fact that I liked a lot about this guy is that he projects a sense of confidence to his followers; he takes his time to analyze vital info that most bettors would ignore or take for granted (previous games, injury reports and possible outcome for each individual game). I like the way he exposes this info to football and sports fans, and how he manages to make this accessible to even new or inexperienced betting fans.

But let’s move to the actual point I wanted to share with you.  There’s a new article on Inspin.com covering the coming NFL Week 16 and his three picks for the coming weekend. For many readers and NFL fans, week 16 won’t decide anything; however, after reading the article and the information provided by Dan the Man, I simply changed my mind. I see a great chance of increasing my monthly winnings by betting on a series of games that no one seems to care about.

Dan The Man’s Free picks for this week include the following games:

Minnesota Vikings (2-12, 1-6 away) vs. Washington Redskins (5-9, 2-5 home)
San Francisco 49ers (11-3, 4-2 away) vs. Seattle Seahawks (7-7, 4-3 home)
Atlanta Falcons (9-5, 4-3 away) vs. New Orleans Saints (11-3, 6-0 home)

I’d like to share more info, as well as his betting analysis on those games, but instead of doing all that, I’ll suggest you to read the article and form your own opinion. So here’s a link to the article. Enjoy, and have a great football weekend.

NFL Monday Night: Steelers could recover Roethlisberger

The Pittsburg Steelers announced this weekend that Ben Roethlisberger's status continues to improve hours before the NFL Monday night's game against the San Francisco 49ers. Roethlisberger suffered a left ankle injury last week against the Cleveland Browns and was limited in practice for the second consecutive day last Saturday.

Pittsburgh coach Mike Tomlin, says he is feeling confident about his quarterback's chances of playing through his ankle injury, and added that Roethlisberger, who traveled with the team to San Francisco, looked good in practice Saturday, saying that "His ankle was better than it was last Thursday (when he injured it)."

The Steelers had yet to make a decision on Roethlisberger but the outcome of the game between the Ravens and Chargers would also be a key factor for the Steeler’s future. The Ravens' loss means a win by the Steelers take the team to the first place in the AFC North, a scenario that would make Roethlisberger a more suitable player due his experience.

Oddsmakers still favoring the 49ers to win this game by a slight margin (-2.5,-115), however, Inspin's NFL Simulator has the Steelers as a 2 Star Pick, and possible winner for this game.

For additional information on the current NFL odds, please click here.

NFL week 15 Picks: An advice you can't ignore

Week 15 is almost over and intensity of the coming weeks is reaching a fever pitch. For betting fans and NFL followers, this is where the rubber meets the road and the free picks for last weekend were definitely on fire. Let’s take a look at the three NFL Picks suggested by Dan The Man Leach and Inspin.com:

Pick #1

Green Bay Packers (13-0, 7-0 away) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (5-8, 2-4 home).

Pick: Chiefs +14.5: This was an Inspin.com 2-Star FREE pick. Inspin’s NFL Simulator made the spread on this game Packers -10-110. There was a huge value betting the Chiefs at +14.5 or better. Inspin also had a tasty betting trend for that game: Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.  (That’s an 83% winner) The Chiefs ended up beating the Packers 19-14

Pick #2

Carolina Panthers (4-9, 2-4 away) vs. Houston Texans (10-3, 5-1 home).

The Inspin NFL Simulator made the point spread on this game Texans -3-110. Inspin betting experts suggested betting the Panthers at +7-110 or better, and made the play a 2-Star FREE pick. The Panthers won the game 28-13.

Pick #3

Tennessee Titans (7-6, 3-3 away) vs. Indianapolis Colts (0-13, 0-6 home).

The Simulator made the spread on this game Titans -3-110, and Dan The Man picked the Colts at +7.5-110 or better. Inspin.com also listed the pick as a 2-Star Free Pick.

Inspin's 3 for free NFL Picks went 3-0 and all three games suggested by Dan "the Man' Leach on the Betting Edge Channel  covered the expectations.

Just to let you have an idea of how effective these picks were; a small or insignificant $20 parlay bet on the moneyline of all three games would have generated $1200 in return. The best part is that these picks are 100% free! I simply visited Inspin.com and opened a free account to get their access to their Insider articles and updates right in my e-mail.

If you think this is too good to be true, here’s the video posted by Dan "the Man' Leach on the Betting Edge Channel: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-YAI_j04EbM&context=C367afa5ADOEgsToPDskKk-rfyOtS4ATK6aRrD9o7O

So next time you feel tempted to beat your bookie, sign up for a free Insider account on Inspin.com, and start getting expert betting advice from some of the best betting pros in the industry!

NFL Week 15 Monday Night Football: Steelers vs. 49ers

The Pittsburgh Steelers will visit the San Francisco 49ers this Monday night, December 19th at 8:30PM to close week 15 of the NFL season.

After clinching the NFC West division two weeks ago, the 49ers suffered a loss vs. the Cardinals (21-19) last Sunday, in a game that has been dubbed as one of the worst performance of any team this season. In that game, the 49ers did not show their best defensive/offensive abilities or any of the qualities and skills that allow them to take the first spot in their division.

 In the other hand the Steelers will be looking to stay even with the Ravens by winning their fifth straight game during this NFL week 15 match-up.

The NFL odds opened with the 49ers as a -2 1/2 (-110) point home favorite but no over/under are available yet.  Here’s some more stats and valuable info courtesy of Inspin.com.

San Francisco 49ers Trends

49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Win Percentage: 100.00 %
49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. Win Percentage: 100.00 %
49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.Win Percentage: 100.00 %
49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Win Percentage: 100.00 %
49ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Win Percentage: 100.00 %

Pittsburgh Steelers Trends

Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Win Percentage: 100.00 %
Steelers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Win Percentage: 100.00 %
Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Win Percentage: 85.71 %
Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. Win Percentage: 80.00 %
Steelers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Win Percentage: 80.00 %
Steelers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Win Percentage: 77.78 %
Steelers are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0. Win Percentage: 73.68 %

Rankings Pittsburgh Steelers

AFC North record: 10-3 (1st-tied with the Ravens)
Passing Yards: 9^th
Rushing Yards: 17^th
Opp Passing Yards: 1^st
Opp Rushing Yards: 6^th

Rankings San Francisco 49ers

NFC West record: 10-3 (1st)
Passing Yards: 29^th
Rushing Yards: 7^th
Opp Passing Yards: 18^th
Opp Rushing Yards: 1st

Patriots vs. Broncos: Can New England Take Down Denver’s Tebow Attack?

The Game:

New England Patriots (10-3) vs. Denver Broncos (8-5), 2:15 p.m. MT
New England plays against Denver on Sunday at Sports Authority Field at Mile High and everyone and his uncle are itching to find out if the Pats have got the stuff to make it to the playoffs and beyond, or if they'll be run over by the Tebow Express and the Broncos.
The Patriots have won five games in a row; the Broncos have taken out six opponents straight. So you better believe the buzz is going off like a fighting mad hornet’s nest.
At times like this, it’s better to take it to the numbers…
What do you say we take a look at some stats? Great lets jump in.

The Matchup

How does the game look head-to-head:

Offense
New England Patriots		Denver Broncos
32.4	Points per Game	21.2
123.3	Rushing Yards per Game	96.5
240.4	Passing Yards per Game	252.4
4.1	Touchdowns per Game	2.5

Defense
New England Patriots		Denver Broncos
19.6	Points per Game	29.4
2.3	Sacks per Game	1.4
1.6	Interceptions per Game	0.6

For more in depth statistics and betting trends make sure to claim your FREE insider’s account today!
Denver currently has the league’s top-ranked rushing offense at 156.2 yards per game. They average 187.1 yards per game in their last nine games engineering a rushing game that connects Tim Tebow with Willis McGahee (tied for the NFL lead with six 100-yard rushing games.)
New England has lost their three last games at Denver and is 3-6 against them in the Bill Belichick era; it’s also clear that they're not getting sucked in to all the hype surrounding Tebow.
“Everybody tries to make it just ‘Tebow Time’ -- it’s their team,” linebacker Dane Fletcher said. “Just like (Sunday) was a good win for them. Their defense stepped up (and their) kicker had a couple of good kicks. I’m not blowing it out of perspective and saying it’s one guy, because it’s not. It’s the team.”
Currently, Inspin sponsor and leading offshore sporstsbook, wagerweb.com has the line for the game favoring New England by -6 points. This is likely to change as game time comes along depending where the money goes.
Regardless, both teams have a fair chance of winning the game. If the Pats win, only the Dolphins and the Bills remain in the way and they'll end up clinching the division; if the Broncos win, they'll play the Bills and the Chiefs and ultimately win the division (but have to pull off nine consecutive triumphs.)
At this point, it’s really up for grabs. Who do you think will take it?

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